Forecast signal
Identify S2S signals that may indicate elevated risk for high-impact weather or climate-related hazards.
The SAGE Disaster Risk Reduction Task Team supports the use of sub-seasonal to seasonal information in anticipatory action, preparedness, and risk management for high-impact weather, compound events, and cascading risks.
The SAGE Disaster Risk Reduction Task Team connects disaster-risk researchers, early-warning specialists, humanitarian actors, and operational partners to examine where S2S forecasts can inform decision timelines before hazards become emergencies.
Its work focuses on preparedness thresholds, uncertainty communication, decision-relevant hazard and risk information, and practical links between forecast science and civil protection, humanitarian action, resilience planning, and community-level disaster risk reduction.
Identify S2S signals that may indicate elevated risk for high-impact weather or climate-related hazards.
Translate forecast information into decision-relevant hazard, exposure, vulnerability, and risk information.
Connect lead time, uncertainty, and actionable thresholds for preparedness and early action.
Support civil protection, humanitarian action, institutional preparedness, and community-level DRR.
The Disaster Risk Reduction Task Team brings together expertise in risk governance, emergency management, early warning, humanitarian action, hydrometeorological extremes, uncertainty communication, institutional capacity building, and community-level preparedness. Full biographies are available through the SAGE team pages.
Shandong University
Risk governance, disaster and emergency management, preparedness, and resilient city assessment.
CEMADEN
Disaster risk analysis, warning systems, organizational capacity, extreme events, and SAGE leadership.
University College London
Weather and climate extremes, hydrometeorological risks, operational research, and climate services.
North-West University
DRR governance, anticipatory governance, early warning systems, resilience, and institutional capacity.
ICPAC
DRR and climate-service applications in regional preparedness and early warning contexts.
Massey University
Natural-hazard science communication, effective warnings, uncertainty communication, and risk information.
Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre
Climate science for humanitarian action, S2S prediction, anticipatory action, and disaster preparedness.
Identify where S2S information can support earlier preparedness decisions before hazards become emergencies.
Connect forecast lead times, uncertainty, and decision points for civil protection, humanitarian, and DRR communities.
Support understanding of high-impact, compound, and cascading events affecting communities and infrastructure.
Improve how uncertainty, risk information, and preparedness guidance are communicated to decision-makers and communities.
Link S2S applications with resilience planning, DRR governance, institutional capacity, and preparedness.
Explore practical ways to make S2S information accessible, reliable, and usable for early-action protocols.
Details of current and planned activities will be added after further input from the Disaster Risk Reduction Task Team. This section may include reviews, case studies, workshops, research instruments, stakeholder engagement, or operational pilots.
Expected outputs will be updated as the Task Team further develops its work programme. Potential outputs may include synthesis materials, case studies, guidance notes, workshop summaries, and contributions to SAGE meetings and newsletters.