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SAGE Task Team

Energy Task Team

The SAGE Energy Task Team advances the application of sub-seasonal to seasonal climate information in energy-sector decision-making, with a focus on energy demand, renewable resources, grid risks, hydropower operations, and climate-sensitive energy planning.

Energy applications S2S forecasts Climate services Renewable resources

Overview

The SAGE Energy Task Team brings together researchers, forecasters, and energy-sector practitioners to advance the use of S2S climate information in energy decision-making. It focuses on translating S2S forecasts into actionable products for energy demand forecasting, renewable resource assessment, grid risk management, hydropower operations, and climate-sensitive planning.

The Task Team works closely with the SAGE Predictability Task Team to connect forecast skill, uncertainty quantification, and user-facing energy applications.

Role within SAGE Link prediction research, climate services, and energy-sector decision needs.
Application focus Support decisions related to demand, renewable resources, grid risks, hydropower, and planning.
Contribution Provide case studies, guidance, tools, meeting inputs, and community engagement.

Team Members

The Energy Task Team brings together expertise from climate prediction, energy meteorology, renewable energy, grid risk, hydrology, artificial intelligence, climate services, and decision support. Full biographies are available through the SAGE team pages.

Marisol Osman

Co-lead

CIMA / Universidad de Buenos Aires

Subseasonal and seasonal predictability; forecast applications for agriculture and energy.

IISER Berhampur

High-resolution NWP, cloud and convective processes, and AI/ML-enhanced model development.

Verónica Torralba

Member

Barcelona Supercomputing Center

Seamless climate predictions, climate services, renewable energy, and extreme events.

Jason C. Furtado

Member

University of Oklahoma

S2S extreme weather prediction, polar vortex dynamics, ENSO, and sectoral applications.

Fei Liu

Member

Sun Yat-sen University

Medium-to-long-range prediction, MJO dynamics, and power-system weather risk applications.

Paula Gonzalez

Member

UK Met Office

Climate model output, S2S predictions, future projections, and energy-sector applications.

Aheli Das

Member

University of Reading

S2S energy demand forecasting and wind resource forecasting.

Jingzhi Su

Member

China Meteorological Administration

S2S prediction, tropical air-sea interaction, and seamless weather-climate model development.

Elisabeth Thompson

Member

UK Met Office

Applied climate science, climate services co-production, S2S forecasting, and capacity development.

Naveen Goutham

Member

EDF R&D

S2S forecasting for energy, heat waves, cold spells, and climate impacts on extremes.

Jean-François Vuillaume

Member

European Commission / Joint Research Centre

Energy policy and analysis within the European Commission's Joint Research Centre.

Dominik Büeler

Member

MeteoSwiss

Subseasonal predictability of regimes, cyclones, heatwaves, drought, and energy-sector products.

Gan Zhang

Member

University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

Hybrid AI-physics modeling and climate-related energy risks, including wind generation and heat.

Marcus Juniper

Member

UK Met Office

Energy-sector climate and weather applications; expertise details to be updated.

Wafae Badi

Member

Direction Générale de la Météorologie

Energy-sector climate and weather applications; expertise details to be updated.

Emilio Bianchi

Member

CONICET / Universidad de Río Negro

Climate science, renewable energy, wind and solar variability, and South American energy systems.

Scope and Priorities

01

Energy demand forecasting

Translate S2S forecasts into energy demand outlooks, including heating and cooling demand, to support utility planning and grid operations.

02

Renewable resources

Assess subseasonal and seasonal variability in wind and solar resources and support forecast-informed renewable energy planning.

03

Grid risk and extremes

Identify high-impact weather events that may affect energy infrastructure, supply continuity, and public safety.

04

Hydropower and water

Explore S2S hydrological predictability and its implications for hydropower generation, water management, and allocation.

05

Climate services

Develop actionable climate information with energy system operators, regulators, policymakers, and other sectoral users.

06

Knowledge exchange

Share methods, verification practices, and user engagement approaches across SAGE Task Teams and partner communities.

Current and Planned Activities

01

S2S energy demand review

A review of S2S forecasting methods and their application to energy demand prediction.

02

Renewable resource case studies

Regional case studies on wind and solar resource predictability across South America, Europe, and Asia.

03

Extreme weather early warning

Development of early-warning approaches for extreme weather impacts on power systems.

04

Forecast product development

Enhancement of subseasonal forecast products and user-friendly forecast opportunity metrics for the energy sector.

05

Stakeholder engagement

Engagement through climate services programmes, advisory panels, workshops, and webinars.

Expected Outputs

Guidance material

Practical material on applying S2S forecasts to energy demand prediction.

Regional case studies

Case studies on renewable energy resource variability and S2S predictability.

Risk briefs

Short briefs on high-impact weather risks for energy infrastructure and demand.

Decision-support tools

Tools and metrics for translating S2S information into energy-sector products.

Workshop contributions

Workshop, webinar, and meeting contributions related to S2S energy applications.

Related Resources

This page will be updated as the Energy Task Team further develops its work programme, activities, and outputs within SAGE.